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Iran Targets US Air Bases in UAE, Kuwait as Israel Warns Sanctions Could Spark ‘Desperate Steps’

Iranian forces have struck air bases used by the United States military in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait, a sharp escalation that underscores the growing volatility across the Gulf and the risk of a wider confrontation. The attacks come as Israel’s defence chief warns that crushing economic sanctions are pushing Tehran to the brink, with the regime fearing internal collapse and increasingly likely to take “desperate steps.”

Bases Hit in UAE and Kuwait

According to regional security assessments, multiple strikes targeted facilities hosting American personnel and aircraft in both Gulf states. While the full extent of the damage remains unclear, the incidents highlight the vulnerability of US military infrastructure in a region where tens of thousands of troops and critical airpower are stationed. The bases serve as vital hubs for operations across the Middle East, and any direct hit raises immediate questions about deterrence and force protection.

Israel’s Warning on Sanctions and Desperation

Against this backdrop, Israel’s defence chief stated bluntly that Tehran’s rulers are terrified of regime-threatening economic chaos. “The regime in Tehran is afraid of collapse because of the suffocating economic pressure,” the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity during a closed briefing. “When a regime feels cornered, it may choose desperate steps—and we see that danger growing every day.”

“The regime in Tehran is afraid of collapse because of the suffocating economic pressure. When a regime feels cornered, it may choose desperate steps—and we see that danger growing every day.”

Israeli intelligence assessments reportedly link the tightening sanctions regime directly to a more volatile and aggressive Iranian posture, with senior military officials in Tel Aviv warning allies that economic isolation could remove the inhibitions that have previously restrained Tehran from striking directly at US or allied targets.

Sanctions, Strain, and External Aggression

The latest strikes are seen by analysts as a symptom of deep internal strain inside Iran. Crippling sanctions have battered the Iranian economy, slashed oil exports, and driven inflation to punishing levels. Protests have flared repeatedly, and the ruling establishment is said to be increasingly concerned about its ability to maintain control. In such an environment, lashing out against perceived enemies—especially the United States and its regional partners—becomes a dangerous but politically useful gambit.

“Economic pressure does not just produce compliance; it can produce cornered-animal behaviour,” a Gulf-based security analyst noted. “We are now witnessing a phase where the regime calculates that external aggression may be its only path to survive internal unrest.”

US Presence and Regional Spillover Risk

The United States maintains a formidable military footprint in the Gulf, with major air operations at facilities such as Al Dhafra in the UAE and Ali Al Salem in Kuwait. Any Iranian strike that succeeds in penetrating these defences—or even one that comes close—carries the immediate threat of a broader exchange. US Central Command has not yet issued an official statement, but the Pentagon is almost certain to review force protection measures across the region.

The risk is not limited to the immediate targets. Other Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, host US installations and could easily be drawn into a widening conflict. Diplomats have long feared that a miscalculation in the Gulf could ignite a chain reaction that engulfs energy infrastructure and global shipping lanes.

Broader US-Iran-Israel Dynamics

The latest developments intensify an already fraught triangle of tensions between Washington, Tehran, and Jerusalem. Israel has consistently pushed for maximum pressure on Iran and has conducted covert operations and airstrikes against Iranian assets in Syria and elsewhere. US policymakers, meanwhile, face a delicate balance: deterring Iranian aggression without being pulled into another costly Middle Eastern war.

For Iran, hitting bases in the UAE and Kuwait—both nations that have sought to maintain relatively pragmatic ties with Tehran—sends a deliberate message that no US ally is out of reach. The attacks serve as a grim reminder that the Gulf’s security architecture remains fragile and that economic duress can quickly translate into military brinkmanship.